The economy
Every number that moves markets: inflation, jobs, growth, the Fed and rates. What it was, what changed, and when the next one lands.
Fed funds (upper)
4.00%▲ 0.00
· 2026-10-13
Next: Oct 28
CPI
3.35%
year-on-year · 2026-08-01
Next: Nov 10
Core CPI
2.45%
year-on-year · 2026-08-01
Next: Nov 10
Core PCE
3.01%
year-on-year · 2026-08-01
Next: Oct 29
Payrolls
29K
change · 2026-09-01
Next: Nov 6
Unemployment
4.20%▲ 0.10
· 2026-09-01
Next: Nov 6
Jobless claims
197,000▼ 2,000
· 2026-10-03
Next: Oct 22
GDP growth
2.20%▼ 0.30
· 2026-04-01
Next: Oct 29
Retail sales
1.13%
month-on-month · 2026-08-01
Next: Nov 17
2Y Treasury
4.75%▼ 0.02
· 2026-10-08
10Y Treasury
5.22%▼ 0.06
· 2026-10-08
Next: Nov 4
10Y–2Y spread
0.47%▼ 0.04
· 2026-10-08
Broad dollar
121.38▼ 0.40
· 2026-10-02
Next: Mar 17
WTI crude
$96.24▲ 0.11
· 2026-10-06
Treasury yield curve now10Y − 2Y spread →
3M4.23%+1 bp
2Y4.75%-2 bp
10Y5.22%-6 bp
30Y5.60%-7 bp
Latest daily close; change vs. the previous close in basis points.
Treasury auctions
Total public debt$40.39T+$273.87B in 30 days, +$2.45T in 1 year · Thu, Oct 15 ↗
Held by the public$32.54T81% of total debt
Treasury cash (TGA)$934.69B+$47.22B in 7 days · Thu, Oct 15 ↗
Upcoming
| Auction | Security | Offering | Settles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 19 | 13-Week Bill reopening | $95.00B | Thu, Oct 22 | ↗ |
| Mon, Oct 19 | 26-Week Bill | $82.00B | Thu, Oct 22 | ↗ |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 6-Week Bill reopening | $95.00B | Thu, Oct 22 | ↗ |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 19-Year 10-Month Bond reopening | $13.00B | Fri, Oct 23 | ↗ |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 17-Week Bill | to be announced | Tue, Oct 27 | ↗ |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 5-Year NoteTIPS | $26.00B | Fri, Oct 30 | ↗ |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 4-Week Bill reopening | to be announced | Tue, Oct 27 | ↗ |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 8-Week Bill reopening | to be announced | Tue, Oct 27 | ↗ |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 2-Year Note | to be announced | Mon, Nov 2 | ↗ |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 13-Week Bill reopening | to be announced | Thu, Oct 29 | ↗ |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 26-Week Bill | to be announced | Thu, Oct 29 | ↗ |
| Tue, Oct 27 | 5-Year Note | to be announced | Mon, Nov 2 | ↗ |
Latest results, against the previous auction of the same security
| Auction | Security | Size | Rate | Change | Bid-to-cover | Indirect | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8 | 29-Year 10-Month Bond reopening | $22.52B | 5.618% high yield | +31.0 bp | 2.54 −0.07 vs prev | 72% −7.2 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Wed, Oct 7 | 9-Year 10-Month Note reopening | $39.93B | 5.300% high yield | +46.6 bp | 2.77 +0.06 vs prev | 80% +1.2 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Tue, Oct 6 | 3-Year Note | $59.38B | 4.932% high yield | +45.8 bp | 2.62 −0.10 vs prev | 58% −4.6 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Thu, Sep 24 | 7-Year Note | $50.62B | 5.085% high yield | +57.3 bp | 2.42 −0.08 vs prev | 57% −3.6 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Wed, Sep 23 | 1-Year 10-Month NoteFRN reopening | $28.00B | 0.050% spread | 0.0 bp | 2.63 −0.51 vs prev | 59% −7.5 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Wed, Sep 23 | 5-Year Note | $80.54B | 5.033% high yield | +64.0 bp | 2.21 −0.16 vs prev | 54% −7.2 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Tue, Sep 22 | 2-Year Note | $79.39B | 4.787% high yield | +58.3 bp | 2.63 +0.03 vs prev | 58% −8.2 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Thu, Sep 17 | 9-Year 10-Month NoteTIPS reopening | $21.86B | 2.653% high yield | +21.5 bp | 2.24 −0.06 vs prev | 59% −6.0 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Tue, Sep 15 | 19-Year 11-Month Bond reopening | $13.00B | 5.420% high yield | +21.6 bp | 2.57 +0.04 vs prev | 52% −10.5 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 4-Week Bill reopening | $117.41B | 4.000% high discount rate | +2.0 bp | 2.56 +0.16 vs prev | 63% +6.0 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 8-Week Bill reopening | $112.08B | 4.050% high discount rate | +7.0 bp | 2.26 −0.51 vs prev | 47% −23.4 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 17-Week Bill | $80.05B | 4.195% high discount rate | +9.0 bp | 2.79 −0.31 vs prev | 54% −5.5 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 6-Week Bill reopening | $100.41B | 3.980% high discount rate | +3.5 bp | 2.58 −0.20 vs prev | 65% −0.2 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 26-Week Bill reopening | $86.66B | 4.200% high discount rate | +3.5 bp | 2.76 −0.03 vs prev | 66% +3.1 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 13-Week Bill reopening | $100.40B | 4.085% high discount rate | +3.5 bp | 2.68 +0.17 vs prev | 60% +10.9 pts vs prev | ↗ |
| Tue, Sep 29 | 52-Week Bill | $59.17B | 4.400% high discount rate | +42.0 bp | 3.07 −0.54 vs prev | 71% −4.4 pts vs prev | ↗ |
Results come from Treasury's Securities Auctions Data; announcements from TreasuryDirect. “Change” is against the previous auction of the same security type and term (inflation-indexed and floating-rate notes are compared only with their own kind; a reopening is compared with the series it extends). Rate is the stop-out yield for notes and bonds, the high discount rate for bills and the spread for floating-rate notes. Indirect is the indirect bidders' share of competitive bids accepted. A tail against the when-issued yield is not shown: Treasury does not publish that yield and dealer consensus is licensed data, so nothing here is estimated.
Every series
| Series | Latest | Prev. / level | vs 1 yr ago | Date | Freq. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed funds (upper) Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit | 4.00% | 4.00% | -5.9% | 2026-10-13 | daily |
| Core CPI Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy | 2.45% | 337.77 | +2.4% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| CPI Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items | 3.35% | 334.13 | +3.4% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Payrolls All Employees, Total Nonfarm | 29K | 159,044K | +0.3% | 2026-09-01 | monthly |
| 10Y Treasury Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity | 5.22% | 5.28% | +26.4% | 2026-10-08 | daily |
| Core PCE Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index | 3.01% | 130.46 | +3.0% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Unemployment Unemployment Rate | 4.20% | 4.10% | -4.5% | 2026-09-01 | monthly |
| PCE prices Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index | 3.42% | 131.58 | +3.4% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| GDP growth Real Gross Domestic Product, percent change from preceding period (annualised) | 2.20% | 2.50% | -45.0% | 2026-04-01 | quarterly |
| 2Y Treasury Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity | 4.75% | 4.77% | +32.7% | 2026-10-08 | daily |
| Fed funds (lower) Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit | 3.75% | 3.75% | -6.3% | 2026-10-13 | daily |
| Retail sales Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services | 1.13% | 737,763M | +5.4% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| 10Y–2Y spread 10-Year minus 2-Year Treasury Yield Spread | 0.47% | 0.51% | -14.5% | 2026-10-08 | daily |
| Hourly earnings Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private | 0.13% | $37.81 | +3.0% | 2026-09-01 | monthly |
| Jobless claims Initial Claims | 197,000 | 199,000 | -12.4% | 2026-10-03 | weekly |
| JOLTS openings Job Openings: Total Nonfarm | 7,079K | 7,335K | +2.3% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| PPI Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand | 0.40% | 157.41 | +5.4% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| 10Y real yield Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed | 2.87% | 2.92% | +61.2% | 2026-10-08 | daily |
| 30Y Treasury Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity | 5.60% | 5.67% | +18.6% | 2026-10-08 | daily |
| 10Y–3M spread 10-Year minus 3-Month Treasury Yield Spread | 0.99% | 1.06% | +725.0% | 2026-10-08 | daily |
| Broad dollar Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index | 121.38 | 121.79 | +0.8% | 2026-10-02 | daily |
| Fed balance sheet Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation) | 6,747,560M | 6,743,031M | +2.4% | 2026-10-07 | weekly |
| Fed funds effective Federal Funds Effective Rate (daily) | 3.88% | 3.88% | -5.4% | 2026-10-08 | daily |
| 3M T-bill Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity | 4.23% | 4.22% | +5.5% | 2026-10-08 | daily |
| WTI crude Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma | $96.24 | $96.13 | +54.0% | 2026-10-06 | daily |
| ECI Employment Cost Index: Total Compensation, All Civilian | 0.89% | 177.18 | +3.4% | 2026-04-01 | quarterly |
| Industrial production Industrial Production: Total Index | 0.02% | 103.07 | +1.4% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Real spending Real Personal Consumption Expenditures | 0.55% | $16,955.3B | +2.6% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Real GDP Real Gross Domestic Product | 2.19% | $24,408B | +2.2% | 2026-04-01 | quarterly |
| 5Y Treasury Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity | 4.99% | 5.03% | +34.1% | 2026-10-08 | daily |
| Continuing claims Continued Claims (Insured Unemployment) | 1,716,000 | 1,699,000 | -10.7% | 2026-09-26 | weekly |
| Core capex orders Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft | 1.56% | 87,640M | +14.1% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Durable goods Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods | -0.07% | 338,458M | +8.4% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| EUR/USD U.S. Dollars to Euro Spot Exchange Rate | $1.13 | $1.12 | -3.7% | 2026-10-02 | daily |
| Housing starts New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units | 1,275K | 1,309K | -1.2% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| USD/JPY Japanese Yen to U.S. Dollar Spot Exchange Rate | $157.81 | $157.63 | +7.1% | 2026-10-02 | daily |
| U-6 Total Unemployed, Plus Marginally Attached, Plus Part Time for Economic Reasons | 7.60% | 7.70% | -6.2% | 2026-09-01 | monthly |
| Vehicle sales Total Vehicle Sales | 16.4M | 17M | -3.4% | 2026-09-01 | monthly |
| Building permits New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places | 1,403K | 1,433K | +4.2% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Capacity utilisation Capacity Utilization: Total Index | 76.3% | 76.3% | +0.2% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Gasoline US Regular All Formulations Gas Price | $4.35 | $4.47 | +39.6% | 2026-10-05 | weekly |
| IORB Interest Rate on Reserve Balances | 3.90% | 3.90% | -6.0% | 2026-10-13 | daily |
| Participation Labor Force Participation Rate | 61.8% | 61.6% | -1.1% | 2026-09-01 | monthly |
| M2 M2 | 5.66% | $23,342.8B | +5.7% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Quits rate Quits: Total Nonfarm (rate) | 1.90% | 1.90% | -5.0% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Retail sales ex food services Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade | 1.14% | 646,347M | +5.4% | 2026-08-01 | monthly |
| Treasury cash (TGA) Deposits with F.R. Banks, Other Than Reserve Balances: U.S. Treasury, General Account | 880,253M | 948,674M | +9.3% | 2026-10-07 | weekly |
| USD/CNY Chinese Yuan Renminbi to U.S. Dollar Spot Exchange Rate | $6.7 | $6.7 | -5.8% | 2026-10-02 | daily |
Sources: the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau, Department of Labor, Energy Information Administration, Department of the Treasury, the Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York; each series page names its agency and carries the notice that agency requires. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Products using the BEA and Census Bureau APIs are not endorsed or certified by those agencies.